Mene ne wani launi juyin juya halin?

Domin baya shekaru goma a cikin harkokin siyasa rayuwar yau da kullum kafe shi ne irin wannan abu a matsayin launi juyin juya halin. Mene ne wannan? Ta yaya wannan nau'i na rashin amincewa? Abin da ake da shi bayyana? Wanda aka kudade da shi, shirya da kuma wahayi? Bari mu dauki farko abubuwa farko.

Yau, a karkashin launi juyin dauka to nufa serial tarzoma da zanga-zangar da jama'ar na kasa, wanda ake da za'ayi tare da goyon bayan kasashen waje da} ungiyoyin NGO. Yawancin irin wannan ayyuka haifar da wani canji na siyasa gwamnatin, amma ba tare da soja hannu. A lokaci guda akwai wani canji, da kuma hukuncin nan katutu.

Mugun praobrazom launi juyin iya kira da Iran juyin mulki na 1953, a lokacin da a sakamakon izini jihar da aka kifar da Fira Minista Mohammed Mossadegh. A yanzu lokaci babu wani yarjejeniya, abin da events za a iya dangana ga batun a cikin wannan labarin, da irin siyasa da fasahar. Saboda haka, da hukuma dama da za a canza launin sun samu: "injin buldoza juyin juya halin" ({asar Yugoslavia, 2000), da "Rose Revolution" (Jojiya, 2003), da "Orange juyin juya halin" (Ukraine, 2004), da "Tulip juyin juya halin" (Kyrgyzstan, 2005 ). Wasu masu bincike suna kokarin duba da zurfi da kuma dangana ga wannan category da kuma "furen karnesha juyin juya halin" (Lisbon, 1974), wanda a cikin sa ya gane zubar da jini ba juyin mulki da farkisanci mulkin kama karya da aka maye gurbinsu da m-demokra] iyya tsarin. Amma da misali ne har yanzu ba za a dauka domin a launi juyin juya hali, saboda juyin mulkin da aka shirya da Portuguese soja. Amma babban 'yan wasan kwaikwayo wasu dauke zanga-zanga - farar hula mutane, kuma a cikin na farko wuri - da aiki adawa shiryayye matasa.

Launi juyin juya halin: Sanadin

1. The mafi zurfi ciki rikicin (tattalin arziki da siyasa) na sabon zaman kanta a jihar, a cikin abin da suka faru ya faru.

2. unrequited so superpower da kuma sauran sojoji da suke da sha'awar da sakamako sashe da kuma a inganta biyan bukatunsu.

3. Matsaloli a cikin tattalin arziki filin, musamman a cikin zaman jama'a da tattalin arziki, manyan rashin jituwa a jihar: da talauci na manyan talakawa na yawan jama'ar, da rashin wata tsakiyar aji.

Bugu da kari, kamar yadda wani da ake bukata kafun ga wani launi juyin juya halin da kuma alama matsala kamar gwamnatin ta rashin so su hada kai tare da 'yan adawa, kyalewa ta, da kuma wani lokacin danniya. Allegorically iya wakiltar wani barazana ga juyin juya halin a kasar a matsayin mutum cuta, wanda bayyanar cututtuka nuna cewa wani abu tare da jiki ba domin. To, idan wadannan alamu ba su biya wani da hankali, da kuma na mulki da iko na "rashin lafiya" ba warkewarta, amma a maimakon haka, za su fitar da shi ko da zurfi, inda shi za ta ci gaba da ci gaba. A daya batu neprekrasny "cuta" Zan karya fita, amma ko da to, zai kasance da yawa wuya su daina.

Amma launi juyin iya zama ba kawai saboda abin da gaskiyar cewa ba duk abin da yake domin a cikin jihar. Suna iya zama dole don wani, kuma ba kawai wadanda suka kawo su fita, amma kuma ga waɗanda suka shirya, "disburse". Yawanci, wadannan masu ruwa da tsaki samar da siyasa da kuma taimakon kudi ga rashin amincewa daga nesa - su ba su ba, a cikin tituna da kuma murabba'ai kanta, amma a hankali saka idanu da rahotanni da ayyuka na nunawa buge da talakawa.

Launi juyin juya halin: tsarin

A wani juyin juya hali, musamman da launi, akwai tsarin. Conventionally, shi za a iya wakilta a matsayin mai uku-tiered dala. A saman suna located 'tallafawa' rashin amincewa - ranking patrons neman sauyi talakawa. Shi ne mutane, kuma mafi kungiyoyin mutanen da suka tsunduma a cikin koyarwa, shugabanci, da kudi da halittar mafi kyau duka bayanai goyon bayan da zanga-zangar. Kai tsaye zuwa bene taba aiki, duk da tasiri, amma kawai ta hanyar shamaki ba, wanda damar da su zuwa "tallafawa", ajiye wani cancanci mutum a idanun duniya al'umma.

Middle bene dokoki kai tsaye shirya na juyin mulki. Launi juyin juya halin akwai yawanci ƙungiyar matasa aiki mutane ta pro-Western fuskantarwa. A wannan category fada hannu daya, a cikin filin na dangantaka da jama'a da kuma farfaganda masana ( 'yan jaridu, masu sana'a Psychologists), wanda taimaka wajen haifar da bango, mai neman sauyi yanayi na talakawa ga sun yi sosai korau hangen nesa daga cikin data kasance gwamnati. Sinfi na biyu na shirya - wani "nuni" (matasa yan siyasa da suka bambanta balaga da kuma baiwa).

A cikin uku, da ƙananan bene, kuma mafi yawa - su ne talakawa mutane, da mutane, abin da yake muhimmi ga halittar zanga-zangar a garin murabba'ai da kuma tituna. A lokaci guda daga gare su akwai yunkuri kawai don akida dalilai, yayin da wasu shirye dare da rana a cikin wani yanayin je rallies da kirari da Banners for quite kudi mai yawa.