Abin da zai sa da karuwa a cikin dollar? dollar girma: da sakamakon

Tun a karshen watan Agusta 2014, da dollar fara hankali samun lokacinta. Layi daya karu a darajar man fetur da aka rubuta. A wannan lokacin, ba wanda zai iya tsammani abin da zai tashi a cikin dollar, wanda aka sani da kasuwa a matsayin na gaba pullback. Social tashin fara girma a lokacin da farashin ginshiƙi fara hanzari shiga ta hanyar matakin bayan matakin. Wannan sabon abu da za a iya lura tun a karshen watan Agusta. Yana faruwa a yau. A dollar tashi da cika fuska da duk ago nakalto a kasuwa. The alama ga halin da ake ciki da cewa ya ci gaba a yau, za a iya dauke da samuwar sabuwar kololuwa a cikin Dow Jones da kuma S & P 500. yawa manazarta tun farkon watan Satumba, ya yi gargadin cewa Amurka kudin da aka shirya wani mamaki ga yan kasuwa tsatstsauran ra'ayi.

Kamar yadda dollar ya shafi rayuwa a Rasha?

A karuwa a cikin darajar da US kudin, wanda aka dauke mafi ruwa kayayyaki a duniya, ya bar ta mark a kan tattalin arzikin na kowace kasa a duniya. Musamman mai haske tabbatar da dollar girma a Rasha. Ƙara da halin da ake ciki fall a man farashin. Tashin hankali tsakanin 'yan asalin dangane da auka daga cikin ruble a wata hanya ba, da goyan bayan da hukumomin gwamnati na dogon lokaci. gwamnati ta kuskure ne cewa shi ya dogara ga kai-gudãnar sojojin na kasuwa. A ci gaba da kudin kasashen waje, wanda a baya watanni biyar zo a spurts, ya jagoranci wani m karuwa a farashin abinci da kuma matsaloli a kasuwanci. Duk da haka, wannan shi ne kawai tip na dutsen kankara. A jihar matakin, girma da dollar ya zama wani da ake bukata kafun ga outflow na babban birnin kasar daga Rasha, don a rage a cikin juz'i na shigo da ga GDP karu zuwa tamanin 0.8%. Karkashin hari ba kawai kananan da kuma matsakaici-sized Enterprises, amma kuma manyan hukumomi, wanda ayyuka suna cike up Rasha kasafin kudin. Tashin dollar, fadowa man, da ruble watsi da rage kudin gas ya haddasa m withering na Rasha tattalin arzikin. A wani lokaci na rikicin Babban Bankin tãyar da amfani rates, wanda hakan ya tilasta wa gwamnati da ta dauki matakai da dama da baya a ci gaba.

Nuna cewa dollar kudi na bankin for International ƙauyuka?

Tambayar da abin da zai dollar, damuwa ba ne kawai Rasha amma dukan duniya. Bank for International ƙauyuka - shi ne daya daga cikin na farko cibiyoyin kudin duniya, wanda ya fara kara ƙararrawa a kan halin da ake ciki. Bisa ga BIS, da Amurka kudin girma, na iya haifar da wani rikicin a cikin tattalin arzikin a kasashen da dama. Da hali to a karfafa daya daga cikin manyan ago na duniya kokari take kaiwa zuwa rashin jituwa a halin da ake ciki a duk stock kasuwanni. Damuwa danganta ne ga gaskiyar cewa manyan hukumomi, wanda aka gudanar a kan tushen tattalin arziki na kasashen duniya, yafi aiki a kan tushen da rance a dollar sharuddan. Biya adadin zai yi sa a cikin wannan kudin a matsayin cewa a cikin ainihin Hakika na motsa jiki ne sosai matsala da kuma wani lokacin ba zai yiwu ba. Rikicin kama da abin da ya faru a Rasha, za a iya cimma mafi kuma mafi kasashen duniya.

debentures

A karfi dollar ya atomatik zama harbinger wahala ga kasashe masu tasowa. Hukunci da abin da zai Yunƙurin na dollar, shi ya zama mai yiwuwa ne kawai bayan musayar sabon highs.

Da zarar dollar fara karfafa, gwamnatocin} asashensu, wanda ci gaba rayayye, an fara hanzari kwance cikin US kudin da kanta fiye da gaba daya rabu da kansu daga waje kudade da kuma karfafa reserves na bankunan tsakiya. Duk da haka, kamfanonin a kasashe masu tasowa a cikin past 'yan shekaru muhimmanci karu da bashi batun, kuma shi ne a dalar Amurka. Bashi sun saki zuwa ranar, Securities daraja game 2.6 tiriliyan daloli (3/4 kundin ake denominated a dalar Amurka). Cross-iyakar rance kai game da $ 4 tiriliyan. Idan da rinjaye kasa da kasa kudin fara samun koma baya, kuma za ta ci gaba da Maris, da bashi nauyin da yawa kamfanonin na duniya so kawai unsupportable. A halin da ake ciki zai worsen idan sha'awa rates a Amurka ta kai ta al'ada jihar. Kuma duk shi ne zuwa gare shi, kuma ke. Policy na gwada yawa easing ya ƙare, kuma Amurka a hannun kusan duk cards.

Tashin dollar: kyau ga Amurka - shi ne mafi sharri ga tattalin arzikin na sauran kasashe

Yayin da dollar ci gaba da girma, da kuma tattalin arzikin Amurka bunƙasa, da harka a sauran kasashe na duniya suka nisa daga hanya mafi kyau. Alal misali, a kasar Japan, sake-koma bayan tattalin arziki yake mulki. Kusa da rikicin, da yawa ƙasashen EU. Sai ya zama a yankin ƙasarsu daga ECB yana iyakacin ƙoƙarinsa ya rehabilitate halin da ake ciki ta hanyar aiwatar da yawa taimakon shirye-shirye. Akwai ko da kalamai daga gwamnati da cewa a cikin watanni masu zuwa, shirya babban birnin shirin na gwada yawa easing. Make a Hasashen na nan gaba ne ba tukuna daya Analyst ba dauka. Kamar yadda na farko kimomi, da halin da ake ciki a nan gaba za su yi kama. A farko canji za ka lura ne mafi cancanta ga spring, a lokacin da ECB za a hukumance bayyana kyautata na tattalin arziki Manuniya dangane da aikin yi.

Babu kaffa al'amurra

A nan gaba, kome kyau ba daraja jiran halin da ake ciki, musamman ba da ci gaba da girma na dollar kara. A sakamakon ba iyakance ga wata karuwa a bukatar kudin da ta rashin a mafi yawan kasashen na duniya. Kamata mu sa ran da outflow na babban birnin kasar daga jihar kasafin kudin. Manyan kamfanonin-mabartan zai yi kokarin biya kashe basusuka, kuma aron kudi a high amfani rates. A wani kokarin dawo da kashe kudi da kuma samun a kalla da m samun kudin shiga, za su gabatar da manufofin da farashin kari na dukiya da kuma ayyuka. Savings kasuwanci damuwa zai kasance a kudi na aiki ma'aikata rates. Mutane zama wanda arzikinsa ya karye. Sai dai wani mugun da'irar daga abin da fitarwa ba bayyane. Abin da sakamako zai Yunƙurin na dollar, da cikakkun bayanai babu wanda zai iya bayyana ba, amma da cewa halin da ake ciki zai shafi kowa da kowa - yana da wani al'amari. A karkashin harin da fari za ta zama jiha wanda manufofin ne da nufin aiki ci gaba.

Komawar dollar ko da yake wani na uku na nesa tafiya - wannan shi ne mafi kaffa, amma shi ba mai yiwuwa a wannan mataki da aka yi hasashen.

Shin yana yiwuwa a inganta halin da ake ciki?

Don gyara halin da ake ciki a duniya, yana da matukar matsala, yayin da dollar ci gaba da tashi. Sakamakon a matsayin ci gaba da halin da ake ciki za a dada tabarbare. Abinda ya iya ko ta yaya fadada taron - shi ne mafitar kudin man fetur a kalla har da manufa na $ 100 kowace ganga. Yayin da Amurka da aka rayayye Mining da man fetur, da kuma cikin OPEC kasashen ba su yarda don rage girma na man fetur zuwa kasuwar kasa da kasa, babu abin da zai canza. Yanzu shugaban kasa ne kawai zai iya dan kadan don santsi daga cikin rikicin, da kuma ba da muhimmanci ga sauƙaƙe rayuwar jama'a a cikin gida tattalin arziki matakin.

Halin da ya kasance a baya ji tsoro su yi tunanin, a yau kanwar lasa ba. Kuma duk laifi da tashin dollar. Tsinkaya a cikin aiki bangare na Amurka ta flourishing riga da damar su hana a halin da ake ciki inda da shakka za su yi daidai da zuwa 200 rubles da 1 Amurka dollar. Har tamanin da kudin don motsawa amincewa ga lamba na 100 rubles daya dollar, da kuma cikin al'umma tsinkayen halin da ake ciki domin ba. Fahimtar cewa Amurka da ta yi nasara ci gaba, musamman, wani aiki karuwa a manyan tattalin arziki Manuniya ya jagoranci wani duniya ciki, shi ba ya canja wani abu. Kuma abin da zai Yunƙurin na dollar a karshen - yana da wani asiri.