Menene ya faru da ruble a Rasha? Mene ne halin da ake ciki ga halin yanzu shekara 2014?

Kila sosai 'yan mutane bar sha'aninsu dabam bayanai game da canza hanya na Rasha kudin. A dalilan da Yunƙurin da fall na ruble zama mafi zafi topic na muhawara. A halin yanzu, a cikin past shekaru biyar, da na kasa kudin ya gabatar da fiye da dozin Russia surprises. Daga mai yawan m tattalin arziki suna daga cikin ra'ayi da cewa abin da ke faruwa a yanzu tare da ruble, shi ne mai kai tsaye sakamakon da 2008 events. Sashe na daga shi ne gaskiya ba, amma cikin zamani kuzarin kawo cikas na kasa kudin wanda shi ne mafi dogara a kan halin da mu kudi da kuma na yanzu siyasa halin da ake ciki.

tunawa 2008

Kusan kowa da kowa yana da wani ra'ayi game da haddasawa da kuma sakamakon na wani tsanani duniya rikicin. A gaskiya, a yau ba haka yake ba da muhimmanci, ko shi da aka jawo da kudi ta duniya kasuwar 'yan wasa, ko kuma shi ne sakamakon mai duniya hadin kai. Fiye da sha'awar abin da ya juya wadannan abubuwan domin cikin gida da kudi tsarin. Ga wasu Figures cewa kwatanta sakamakon da rikicin for Rasha:

• A cikin shekara guda daga cikin kasar 54 bashi cibiyoyin da aka narkar, da 47 daga cikinsu sun hana banki lasisi.
• dollar tashi zuwa 23,4186 rubles. a kan 01.08.2008 har zuwa 29,3804 rubles. 31.12.2008 (25.4% na 5 months). to 01.08.2009, da dollar ya daraja 31,1533 rubles. (33.1% - da girma kudi domin shekara 1).

Wadannan alkaluma sun nuna a fili abin da a buga a sakamakon da 2008 rikicin da aka sa zuwa Rasha kudi. Warke daga gare shi, mu 'yan asalin iya kawai' yan shekaru.

2009-2011,

A wannan lokacin, da Rasha tattalin arzikin da aka hankali murmurewa, kuma kudi kasuwa nemi ya koma zuwa ga tsohon matsayi. Duk da cimma karfafawa daga cikin ruble musayar kudi da kuma karuwa a samar kayyade a raba masana'antu, da ruble su ci gaba da hankali fada a farashin.

Hakika, wannan tsari ya ba mikakke, amma a general, da Trend ya quite shakka: farkon shekara ta 2010 da dollar ya daraja 30,1851 rubles, a shekara ta 2011 - 30,3505 rubles, a shekarar 2012 - 32,1961 rubles ... Saboda haka, ruble fadi da 6,68% a kan shekaru 3. Wannan muhimmancin ne quite m gane kome: The gwamnatin Rasha da kuma kasar yawan jama'a. The tambaya na abin da ya faru da musayar kudi na ruble, damu game da Russia wajen rauni a wannan lokaci. A sakamakon haka, rage cikin sha'awa na Rasha 'yan asalin sayan kudin kasashen waje a tsabar kudi, kazalika don adana shi a cikin nau'i na ajiya a banki.

2012

Abin baƙin ciki, duk da kyau abubuwa dole ne ya zo ga ƙarshe: by May 2012, ruble fara samun koma baya dangi zuwa ga manyan duniya ago. Saboda m kudin shisshigi na Central Bank, kazalika da ya maimaita tabbacin zaman lafiya na cikin gida da kudi, depreciation sa'an nan na sãɓã daina. Duk da haka, da dollar ne har yanzu ya karu da kusan 2 rubles, da kuma Yuro - by 2.5.

Russia ne sake sha'awar wannan tambaya na abin da ya faru da su pocketbooks. Yau, da manyan m tattalin arziki da kuma siyasa masana kimiyya ayan bayyana sa'an nan fada a cikin kasa kudin kasar na gargajiya dalilai:

• ƙananan farashin man.
• da matsaloli na Turai tattalin arzikin.
• masu zuba jari 'damuwarsu game da wani sabon kalaman na rikicin kudi.

A wannan lokacin, da kaifi depreciation na ruble darajar da manema fassara a matsayin wani wajibi musayar kudi kuzarin kawo cikas, tsara don raya tattalin arziki da kuma hana shi daga fadowa cikin stagnation. Wa daidai yake daidai a ce da wuya. Duk da haka, ko da kuwa da real dalilai domin depreciation na kasa kudin, da yawan tsoro sayi up tsabar kudi dalar Amurka da kuma Tarayyar Turai, kamar yadda masu zuba jari garzaya gaggawa a ajiye su dukiya. Duk da ci gaba outflow na babban birnin kasar daga cikin kasar, da kayyadewa ya iya dattako da musayar kudi da kuma ci gaba da shi a cikin iyakoki na kudin kwandon: a karshen Disamba 2012 da dollar ya daraja 30.3727 rubles, da Yuro - 40.2286 rubles ..

2013

Cikin 2013 ya ci gaba da sauka a hankali depreciation na mu kudin. Ganin wani sosai korau jama'a dauki ga abin da ke faruwa tare da Rasha ruble, da Babban Bankin ya sake koma ga manyan-sikelin da sayen shi domin ya kula da hanya. Wadannan kyau nufi an kashe kusan $ 28 biliyan, amma kudi na kasa kudin kan kudin kwandon ga shekara fadi da kusan 3 rubles.

Babu shakka, wannan shekara ta kasance mafi nasara ga ruble. Duk da haka, optimists tsanani annabta cewa rike da Sochi Olympics na taimaka wa karfafawa daga cikin shakka, ta kara inflow na ƙarin girma daga kudin daga wasanni yawon bude ido. By ƙarshen shekara, ko da ba su san musamman kudi matsaloli mutane yi matukar damuwa game da neman a abin da ke faruwa tare da su pocketbooks. 2014, duk da haka, mafi yawan Russia ya gana da bege na tabbatar da dorewar musayar kudi na mu kudi, inganta da jihar na banki tsarin da kuma nan gaba dawo da tattalin arziki.

2014

A shekara ta fara da ba da mafi farin ciki aukuwa ga Rasha Ruble: Janairu 15 A Babban Bankin ya tura da iyakoki na iyo kudin corridor har zuwa 5 aninai. A watan Janairu irin ayyuka da aka maimaita 6 sau, kuma ta karshen watan da kudin kwandon ya daraja 41.0284 rubles riga. A watan Fabrairu, wannan Trend nace, kuma 26.02.2014, matsakaicin tarihi Hakika an sabunta sake. Sa'an nan da kudin da kudin kwandon ya isa bakin ƙofar 41,9952 rubles. 2 watanni na wannan shekara don daidaita kasa kudin da aka kashe kusan $ 12 biliyan, wanda sanya shi yiwuwa a kawo shi a cikin wani irin ma'auni.

Sport matsayin factor a cikin karfafawa daga cikin shakka

A gasar wasannin Olympics jera ragae depreciation na ruble. M labarai lokatai, ragewan da mataki na tashin hankali tsakanin Russia, kazalika da ƙara inflow na kudin kasashen waje a yarda da mai kula ba tare da ƙarin shisshigi ga ci gaba da musayar kudi na Rasha kudin a wani m matakin. Kuma a watan Afrilu, da ruble jaruntaka yunkurin sake samu da matsayi. By farko daga cikin May Day holidays biyu-kudin kwandon ya riga kudin 41.8409 rubles. Saboda haka, domin 4 watanni na wannan shekara tamanin da kudin kwandon karu da 9.4%.

Bisa ga hasashen da na Forbes labarai sashe edita Ivan Vasiliev, ba su a cikin farkon Janairu, 2014 don ruble kan kudin kwandon zuwa fada ta game 7.5 rubles. (Ko 20%). Duk da yake rike da data kasance balance a cikin biyu dollar / Yuro darajar musayar kudi a dangane da biyu ago zai fada wa wannan 20%.

Dalilai da shafi kuzarin kawo cikas na

Abin da ke faruwa tare da ruble, shi ma ba a cikin duhu kintace. Jagoranci manazarta gaggawa sake duba kudin kimomi na kasa kudin, ya yi da su a karshen shekarar bara. Duk da haka, akwai dalilai da cewa kai tsaye shafi musayar kudi, amma ba na ba da lamba ratings.

Gudana aukuwa a kudu-maso-gabas da Ukraine, da mummunan hali na kasashen Turai da Amurka yan siyasa da matsayin soma da Rasha a kan batun, kada shiga daban-daban takunkumi a kan kasar mu ne quite m. Kamar yadda m tattalin arzikin da aka riga warai batutuwa a cikin duniya, shi zai iya muhimmanci rushe da zaman lafiyar na Rasha banki tsarin da kuma rage kudi na cikin gida da waje. Menene ya faru da ruble, shi ne m - shi ne a hankali da samun rahusa. Abin da zai faru ga hanya gobe shi ba a dauka don hango ko hasashen kusan babu wani.

Yammacin view na Rasha kudin

Babban mu matsaloli, bisa ga IMF masana ne yanzu siga geopolitical halin da ake ciki, da yiwuwar gabatar da tsauraran takunkumi daga yammacin kudi cibiyoyin, hanzari da hauhawar farashin kaya, da kasafin kudin gaira. Yana bayyana cewa Rasha tattalin arzikin ya hankali crept cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, kuma kintace na masu rinjaye na kasashen waje masana a kan al'amurra na mu kudin joyless. Bayan da rating dillancin S & P downgraded sarki bashi rating na Rasha zuwa matakin BBB-, shi ya zama na fili da cewa a kara ragewar darajar kuɗi da ruble ne ba kawai zai yiwu, amma makawa.

Dogon lokacin da tsinkaya da Rasha kudi guru

Yau, kusan babu wani daga cikin jami'an kasar mu iya ba a fili ya bayyana wa 'yan asalin abin da ke faruwa tare da su pocketbooks. Kintace na mafi masana a kan gaba 'yan watanni na 2014, rage ga gaskiya cewa ruble za ta ci gaba da gargajiya fall. A gaskiya, mafi yawan tattaunawa ne kawai za'ayi a kan taki. A fili yake cewa a ci gaba da musayar kudi a cikin halaye da aka shimfiɗa 3-shekara kasafin kudin (2014 - 33,40 rubles, a 2015 -. 34,30 rubles da kuma a shekara ta 2016 - .. 34,90 rubles) bã su cin nasara, saboda ya karshen Afrilu 2014 da dollar ya daraja 35.70 rubles. Kuma a farkon watan Maris, da dollar ya gudanar ya yi da mashaya, a 36 rubles, yayin da Yuro buga wani tarihi high na 50 rubles.

The shugaban Babban Bankin Elvira Nabiullina tabbatar 25.04.2014, a cikin wata hira tashar "Ren-TV" cewa kayyadewa ba ya nufin su gudanar da manyan sikelin-baki a cikin kudin kasuwar. Abin da ke faruwa, yanzu tare da ruble, da Babban Bankin ya kira dole gyara. Mafi m, da miƙa mulki ga wani iyo musayar kudi na ruble za a yi ba zuwa farkon shekarar 2015, kamar yadda aka ayyana a baya, kuma a lokacin rani na shekara ta 2014.