A ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia a 2014: abubuwan da tattalin arzikin

A Fall na hryvnia ya fara a 2014 - da aiki lokaci na Maidan. Duk da haka, masana suna da ra'ayin cewa duk abubuwan da ake bukata domin fall na kudin da tun farkon shekarar 2013 saboda da musamman talakawa jihar da tattalin arziki, da reeling tun 2008-2009 rikicin. Saboda haka, ba shakka an kiyaye artificially da tallace-tallace na kudin kasashen waje reserves na Central Bank of Ukraine.

A ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia. Mene ne wannan?

Ragewar darajar kuɗi ne mai tsari a cikin abin da na kasa kudin farashin da dama a dangane da kasashen waje ago, wato, akwai depreciation na kudin.

A wasu kalmomin, da ragewar darajar kuɗi na Ukrainian hryvnia - dakushe ta musayar kudi da kasashen waje ago.

Ragewar darajar kuɗi iya zama bude da kuma boye. Lokacin da ka bude ragewar darajar kuɗi na Central Bank shelanta wannan, da kuma hanawa na tsabar kudi da za a yi musayar ko janye. Lokacin da latent jihar rage kudin na kasa kudin. Money ba musayar kuma ba su tafi ba.

effects

ragewar darajar kuɗi da sakamakon na iya zama mai kyau ko korau.

Daga cikin m tsayawar:

• kara a sakamakon bukatun cikin gida.
• raguwa a duniya reserves na kashe kudi.
• da tutu don fitarwa.

Duk da haka, cikin illar ne sosai gagarumin. A cikin hali na ragewar darajar kuɗi daga cikin wadannan na faruwa:

• jawo da tashin kumbura.
• An eroding jama'a amincewa a cikin kasa kudin.
• shigo da kayayyakin ƙunci saboda farashin ƙaruwa.
• mutane sukan janye kudi daga asusun na bankuna.
• buying aiki an rage saboda da rage albashin ma'aikata da kuma pensions.

Ukraine. A ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia

A watan Fabrairu 2014 akwai wani ragewar darajar kuɗi na ashirin da biyar cikin dari. Maimakon takwas hryvnia daya dollar yanzu ya ba da goma. Kuma a watan Mayu, duk da cewa babban bankin reserves fadi ta shida biliyan hryvnia ragewar darajar kuɗi amounted zuwa hamsin cikin dari.

A lokaci guda, Ukraine samu na farko tranche na goma sha bakwai dala biliyan. A ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia zuwa dakatar saboda wannan. Duk da haka, halin da ake ciki ci gaba da deteriorate. Crimea aka annexed zuwa Rasha, a cikin Donbas ci gaba da yakin basasa, da kuma kamfanin da yake a cikin ƙasa, ya yi kira a kansu da Jamhuriyar Jama'ar Donetsk da Luhansk jama'ar kasar Jamhuriyar, tsaya a biya haraji ga Kiev.

Saboda haka, a watan Agusta, akwai wani ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia a 2014. Rate ragu daga goma sha biyu hryvnia daya dollar da goma sha huɗu da rabi. Godiya ga ayyuka na Central Bank ta rabo ne da ɗan tausasa, da kuma kafin zaben saboda Hakika na zinariya asusu na Ukraine da ke rubuce a cikin adadin goma sha biyu hryvnia da tasa'in da biyar aninai da dollar. Duk da haka, bayan zaben, goyon baya ga Ukrainian hryvnia ne a kan, cikin shakka sake zauna.

A lokacin makon da dollar ya tashi zuwa goma sha shida tare da kananan hryvnia, da kuma ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia a Ukraine (2014 shekara-karshen) zambar daya da ɗari bisa dari.

International Asusun bada lamuni

Babban dalilin da tabarbarewar tattalin arziki da halin da ake ciki shi ne tallafi na dukan bukatun da lamuni na duniya Ford. Nẽme rance IMF Kiev tafi zuwa ga free kudi kayyade, da kara yawan tariffs for gas da kuma sauran mai amfani da takardar kudi, wanda ya sa tsoro da yawan jama'a. Mutane daina amince da gwamnatin su, suka kwashe kudi daga ajiya asusun da taro sayen kudin.

A tattalin arziki rikicin Ukraine ya faru a baya. A cikin marigayi nineties, da Rasha rikicin ya shafa na kasar, da kuma a 2008 - duniya. A waɗannan shekaru, da ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia ma ya faru. Duk da haka, jihar bai daina da kudin corridor, kamar yadda aka aikata a 2014.

Irin wannan ma'auni ne kawai zai iya cin nasara a cikin kasar tare da wani karfi tattalin arziki da kuma na kasa kudin, goyon baya da zinariya ko kayayyaki. A cikin hali na Ukraine, tattalin arzikin ne halin da AMINCI da kwanciyar hankali. Masana sun sha bayyana ra'ayin cewa batun hryvnia ba tare da kulawa daga National Bank zai sa a kwarara daga babban birnin kasar - domin hryvnia za su yi kokarin in saya kudin kasashen waje.

Sakewa da hryvnia. effects

Kuma haka ya faru. Kudi da aka dauka daga adibas, da kuma babban bankin a wannan lokacin bayar da wasu kudade don bankuna don kula da liquidity. A musayar kudi fara kai da speculators.

A watan Agusta, National Bank sayi gwamnatin shaidu, "Naftogaz Ukraine" a da ɗari biliyan hryvnia. A kudi da aka canjawa wuri zuwa kasashen waje, wadda kuma gudummawar da wani sabon Jump a farashin. Saboda haka, Central Bank, ba tare da sunadaran da adawa, ya taimaka girma kudi.

Bugu da kari, kamfanonin da cewa fitarwa kayayyakin, yi kokarin ci gaba da samu kudin kasashen waje, muddin zai yiwu, speculating a kan hanya. Kasashen waje musayar albashi a sakamakon wannan rage.

'Yan kasuwa sun yi kokarin gudanar da ayyukan a ƙauyuka waje Ukraine, ta amfani da dama makircinsu zuwa gida bankuna iya ba zai shafi babban birnin kasar. Kuma suka nemi a kawo masu kudi samu daga mazauna.

A daidai wannan lokaci da zuba jari da cika fuska rage. Masu zuba jari kokarin da ƙugiya, ko da crook to, su fitar da kudi daga unpredictable da ƙararrawa zone, inda da kasada na zuba jari kudi su ne babbar. A cewar gwamnatin statistics, tun da farkon shekara ta Ukraine ya rasa goma sha goma sha huɗu hundredths na dalar Amirka biliyan na kai tsaye zuba jari, wanda amounted zuwa game da ashirin bisa dari na jimlar yawan zuba jari inflows.

Anti-rikicin matakan

Duk masana a daya murya ce cewa ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia sun fi mayar faru saboda saki hryvnia da kuma kin amincewa da wani ajali musayar kudi. Kuma abin da ke cikin mataki na farko wajen karfafawa da kudin zai kasance da kin amincewa da wani iyo musayar kudi, da kuma a koma gyarawa.

Kamar yadda wani janar anti-rikicin matakan samarwa da za su gudanar da wani karin tsaurara manufofin da nufin minimizing tabbas ayyukan, da karuwa a fitarwa, musamman harkokin noma. Akwai sun kuma kasance da shawarwarin da yarjejeniyoyin da kasashen waje musayar auctions da kiwon da sha'awa kudi da hauhawar farashin kaya forecast.

Wasu Ukrainian masana yi imani da cewa National Bank yana da dukan zama dole kayayyakin aiki, don shawo kan kudin rikicin, amma saboda wasu dalilai, ba amfani da su. Amma duk abin da aka Kanmu ta National Bank, a farkon 2015 hryvnia rushewar aggravated, rabon kai talatin hryvnia daya dollar.

A sakamakon da ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia a 2014

Tattalin arziki Analyst Alexander Okhrimenko Notes cewa a lokacin rikicin da talakawan albashi ne game da wani dala xari, amma za a iya rage zuwa hamsin. Kawai mafi aiki za su iya tsira a halin yanzu yanayi. Sauran zai zama yanke wa.

Qara kudin na bashi a kasashen waje, da suka biya kadan ko ba albashinsa. Wannan shi ne sakamakon wannan m sabon abu ga tattalin arzikin, kamar da ragewar darajar kuɗi na hryvnia. A 2014, bankuna dauki wani sabo bayani - suka fara samar da abin da ake kira short matsayi lokacin da sayar mafi kudin fiye da saye. By karshen 2014, short matsayi amounted zuwa shida dala biliyan. Amma a sakamakon ne yanzu bankunan ba zai iya saya daloli a talatin hryvnia da kai babbar asarar.

Don daidaita halin da ake ciki, shi shawara ga Okhrimenko m manufofin banki refinancing. nuna ga dukkan kudin kasashen waje taskar shaidu da kuma amfani da Saide kara zinariya reserves. free adibas da kuma kara haraji rates a kan su, kuma ya dauke hani a kan kudin kasuwar.

Ana sa ran cewa Ukraine za su iya komawa zuwa 2013 matakin na game da 5-7 shekaru. Kuma gyare-gyare za su zama zai yiwu ne kawai bayan da matsaloli a cikin gabashin kasar.

Masu zuba jari a Ukraine ne yafi ta oligarchs. Suna yaƙi a tsakãninsu ga ikon da dukiya. Saboda haka, a waje zuba jari za su kawai zo bayan, a lokacin da karshen yaki tsakanin su.

Jigon da Ukrainian matsaloli

Duk da matsaloli, ciki har da fadowa hryvnia, an yanke shawarar rubuta kashe da yaki a cikin Donbas. Duk da haka, domin da yawa watanni, a kalla nominally aiki a tsagaita wuta, da kuma hryvnia ya kai ta ganiya gaba fall. Kuma da kyautata ba a sa ran.

Babu shakka, da rashin iyawa don warware matsalolin tattalin na kokarin rubuta kashe da yaki. A nawa don yin sulhu akai tare da Donbas haifar da sabon da kuma ya dada tabarbare haihuwa wadanda (ciki har da tattalin arziki) da matsaloli na Ukraine.

binciken

War halaka da oligarchs kasar. Amma da mafi mũnin abu - shi ne cewa yaki a kudu-gabashin Ukraine sun sa a m hasarori. Ba shi yiwuwa a shirya tattalin a zalla yanayin tattalin arzikinsu kuma kada ku shãfe da siyasa bangaren. An yanzu wasa muhimmiyar rawa a cikin Ukraine. Daga cikin shiri na halin da ake ciki a yankin kudu maso gabas ya dogara da nan gaba makomar kasar nan.